Player acquisition: a simple process for making complex decisions

Du Malone writes: Once the 2021-22 season had closed, manager Grigor Pasha decided that he needed to make some changes in the goalkeeping department. The problem He wasn't happy with the no.1 choice, Vlad Mutiu. It wasn't that he made glaring errors. It was just that every now and then a goal would go in … Continue reading Player acquisition: a simple process for making complex decisions

Tactical transformation on the Black Sea: the advent of wingers

Grigor Pasha writes: I've written before about the advantages of a winter break. Here in Romania it's long enough to introduce a new tactic. During the break we (that is, Farul Constanta) host three cup competitions, so that we can not only train a new tactic but also test it in match situations. I didn't … Continue reading Tactical transformation on the Black Sea: the advent of wingers

How to think about attributes: or how bad players succeed

Du Malone writes: I imagine FM managers will be surprised to find me reblogging a post about plant science ‘A plant’s adaptive traits don’t follow climate conditions as you might expect’. Almost as surprised as its author will, doubtless, be to find his work popping up on a site dedicated to a football simulation.

So let me explain. This post reports a study into how trees adapt to climactic variations in. It states that one “might expect things like xylem vessel diameter and density to change more or less monotonically (i.e., changing in a consistent manner as elevation rises or falls)”.

The truth, however, is more complex: “In fact…we found that different species modify certain traits in different combinations to adapt to local conditions, meaning that the monotonic expectation doesn’t always hold for individual traits”.

Evidently one needs to think not in terms of one trait at a time, but in terms of clusters of traits and, perhaps, the interaction between them. It was perhaps that word ‘trait’ that somehow put me in mind of FM.

And I was reminded of a post that I’ve cited before, namely the Facci Sognare post on Bradley Kuwas. Kuwas, according to the author, is by ‘all possible measurements’ a ‘poor player’ — yet he’s doing wonderfully well and scoring sensationally well.

I suspect this paradox arises from monotonic thinking. One might expect that a low finishing attribute (4) would a poor goalscorer make.

But supposing we look at Kuwas more broadly? He does have the ability to get into goal-scoring positions (NB acceleration, dribbling, work rate, acceleration pace). His technique is good enough to enable him to get some sort of effort in. His flair means that he’ll sometimes do this in unexpected ways, perhaps catching the goalkeeper out. And his long shots show he at least has a shot on him and can gain confidence from scoring that way, even though most of his efforts are from close in.

If someone said to me, here you are, sign this guy: he’s got finishing 4 and composure 8. He’ll be a regular goalscorer’ I would decline the offer. But the evidence suggests I’d be wrong.

As the author, CJA Bradshaw, wrote in the original post: “Basically this means that without the benefit of measuring multiple traits, you might incorrectly predict a trait value at a certain elevation assuming monotonic behaviour”.

I should add that I actually follow ConservationBytes to learn more about conservation and ecology. I find it an excellent read, so invite you to explore the site.

31 Mar 20 Kuwas

ConservationBytes.com

mountain

Just a quick post today, my last one for March. Like probably most of you, I’ve been trying to pretend to be as normal as possible despite the COVID-19 surrealism all around me. But even COVID-19 has shifted my research to a small degree.

But I’m not going to talk about the global pandemic right now (I can almost hear the collective sigh of relief). Instead, I’m going to go back to topic and discuss a paper that I’ve just co-authored.

Last year I went to China’s Yunnan Province where I met some fantastic colleagues at the Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden who were doing some very cool stuff with the variation in plant functional traits across environmental gradients.

Well, those colleagues invited me to participate in one those research projects, and I’m happy to say that the result has just been published in Forests.

Measuring the functional traits of…

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We need to talk about the central defence

Grigor Pasha writes: At present we are playing, In Romania's Liga 2, with a 3 - 2 (WBs) - 2 - 1 (trequartista) - 2 formation. The main challenge arising from this decision is finding a sufficient number of decent centre backs (CBs). Here's how I've tried to solve that problem On the right, as … Continue reading We need to talk about the central defence

We need to talk about goalkeepers

Grigor Pasha writes: When I took over at FC Farul Constanta, in the summer of 2019, they had two goalkeepers on their staff. The senior partner was the club captain, Vlad Mutiu. And the understudy was the promising Andrei Udeanu. I like building determined teams, so I welcomed Vlad's determination. I also welcomed his roundedness: … Continue reading We need to talk about goalkeepers

The benefits from using a wide target man (WTM)

Du Malone writes: From discussion online I don't get the impression that the wide-target man (WTM) role is widely used in FM. Members of the FM community often publish their formations. These reveal that WTM isn't at all a popular choice for players playing wide in the attacking-mid line. Wingers, inside forwards, and inverted wingers are … Continue reading The benefits from using a wide target man (WTM)

Player acquisition on #FM20: applying Arrigo Sacchi’s approach

Du Malone writes: In this, the third post in my series on learning from Arrigo Sacchi's approach at AC Milan, I consider what kind of players to acquire. Total football? In the account of Saccho's tactics that I treat as canonical, namely Raghunandhanan Narasimhan's article on Football bloody hell, reference is made to Sacchi's admiration … Continue reading Player acquisition on #FM20: applying Arrigo Sacchi’s approach

Squad development: the roundtable approach

SCENE: Football manager's office. It is an office of two halves. The half nearer the window is dominated by a tatty desk from the 1970s. On the desk are in, pending, and out trays, with paper spilling out of them. There are also various other piles of paper: from the looks of things this manager … Continue reading Squad development: the roundtable approach

Tables turned: In which a manager assesses the chairman’s performance

FAO: The Chairman of Neftochimic 1962 Dear Mr Danchev, Thank you for your evaluation of my performance as of 1 November 2022. I agree that September proved a disappointing month. I would like to draw your attention to one aspect of our play, namely goalkeeper performance. Young Ivaylov Iliev is an improving goalie with plenty … Continue reading Tables turned: In which a manager assesses the chairman’s performance

Golden generation? Well, certainly some nuggets there

Grigor Pasha writes: August 2021. Early in my third season at Neftochimic 1962. From the intake in the spring we signed six players. Of these, at least four have been genuinely glistening. First, the boy Slavov. He's remarkably mature for a goalkeeper of his age -- good, in particular, at making decisions. He's already got … Continue reading Golden generation? Well, certainly some nuggets there